The Jacksonville Jaguars have flipped the script on the Indianapolis Colts this year and are currently rewriting the 2010 edition of the AFC South.With Peyton Manning’s machine sputtering, the Jags have taken hold of first place in the division in the NFL standings using their trademarked toughness, perseverance and physicality. For years the Jaguars have presented the most difficult challenge in the South for Indy as their defense and run game structured the team perfectly to beat Manning.The Colts have been bombarded with injuries and Jacksonville has pounced on the opportunity, winning 4 of their last 5 games on the NFL schedule. This Sunday the two teams will meet for control of the division; a battle between old school pigskin and vertical strategy, a parity-era rivalry.
It has been a difficult season for Manning and his Colts. There was the bumpy week 1 start in Houston, where Texans running back Arian Foster exploded onto the scene with 231 rushing yards, then the heartbreaking 59 yard field goal by Jaguars’ kicker Josh Scobee at the close of the teams’ first meeting and, most recently, a string of three games in which Manning threw 11 interceptions, several of which were returned for scores and two of which sealed defeats late in the game for the Colts. The blame has fallen largely on Manning and rightfully so – you cannot attribute all of a team’s successes to one man, and then make excuses for him when the outfit falters. Still, it’s not as if the clock struck midnight and Peyton transformed into his younger brother; injuries to receiver Austin Collie, running back Joseph Addai and tight end Dallas Clark have robbed Manning of three of his crucial offensive weapons, subsequently upsetting the precision and rhythm of the Colts’ clockwork offense. With backups and recent signees trotting in and out of the huddle, Manning has been restricted from engaging in his usual pre-snap gesticulations – adjustments that so often allowed him to control the pace of the game in years past. The loss of Addai has been especially harmful to the team as it has unbalanced the offense, forcing the team to pass on almost every down, eliminating the element of surprise.
This sort of predictability could doom Indianapolis against the Jaguars on Sunday. Though Jacksonville has not been a statistically strong defense for the entirety of the season, their play of late has reestablished their status as a hardened unit. Linebackers Daryl Smith, Kirk Morrison and Justin Durant are playing with an intensity to match that of their Head Coach Jack Del Rio, a former backer himself. The trio has each amassed over 50 tackles and their ability to both cover and stop the run has been the foundation of the team’s zone defense. Defensive tackle Terrance Knighton has emerged as a capable replacement for former Jaguars Marcus Stroud and John Henderson, the core of the team during their success in the mid 2000s. With the linebackers dropping into coverage, fearless of the Colts’ weak running game, and the interior of the defensive line bearing down on the pocket like snow on the Metrodome, Manning will be embattled all day long. All-pro cornerback Rashean Mathis should only make matters worse for the pivot, as he has the size, speed and athleticism to keep up with Manning’s top target Reggie Wayne. Wayne has been the lone constant for Peyton this season, putting up huge numbers even as opponents make him a coverage priority. The receiver has shown that after years of being number two to surefire hall of famer Marvin Harrison, Manning’s record-breaking recipient, he can hold his own as one of the league’s best at the position.
For years the formula for beating the Colts has been to forcefully defend with intelligence and to run the ball effectively, keeping Manning off the field. The latter part of the equation was and still is made easy by the fact that the Colts defense is a smallish unit that is built for defending a lead, not stopping the run. In the past the Jags have gashed the Colts for huge totals of rushing yards, shoving the ball in the belly of either Fred Taylor or Maurice Jones-Drew and letting the backs charge through the blocks set by their massive, powerful offensive line. Though Taylor is departed, Jones-Drew remains and has been performing as one of the league’s best ball carriers. “MoJo” is second in the league with 1,278 yards rushing and is coming off a game in which he sprinted in the game winning, 30 yard touchdown against the Oakland Raiders. The line, always a priority for Del Rio, has been fantastic, clearing holes for the league’s second best running attack. Guards Vincent Manuwai and Uche Nwaneri are standouts, while young left tackle Eugene Monroe has lived up his to high draft pick by protecting quarterback David Garrard’s blindside and getting push downfield on running plays. The running game has been the focus for the Jaguars, but their ability to pull out wins lies with the play of Garrard; a thoughtful, gutsy leader who can pass and run for crucial first downs late in games. Garrard will not be relied upon to do the same things in the passing game as Manning will be on Sunday, but his guidance is equally important to his squad. The skirmishes between these teams have always been close, so expect one of the two field generals to deliver crunch-time heroics.