Each year there’s a group of NFL Draft prospects who carry obvious red flags about their ability to adjust to NFL life both on and off the field. Inevitably, some GM will overlook the warning signs and get burned.
Here’s just a few top prospects for the 2011 draft who come with a sizable risk.
Robert Quinn, DE, North Carolina
Quinn is big, fast, and powerful, and was a force on the Tar Heels D-line in 2009. However he was out of football in 2010 after being suspended by the NCAA for lying to investigators about over $5,000 worth of jewelry and travel accommodations he allegedly received. Some players can bounce back after time away from football (Michael Vick), some don’t (Maurice Clarett). GMs are hoping Quinn falls into the former camp.
Oh, and he has a brain tumor. Teams might want to keep that in mind, if you’ll pardon the pun.
Da’Quan Bowers, DE, Clemson
Like Quinn, Bowers is a physical specimen at a premium position, and he’s coming off a 15.5-sack season for the Tigers. He’s a versatile player who matches up well against both the run and the pass and worked hard to drop 25 pounds heading into his final college season, and was rewarded with the Bronko Nagurski Trophy as college football’s best defensive player
But thanks to a faulty knee, Bowers remains a risky prospect. He missed a pair of games in 2009 with a strained ligament, and went under the knife in January to repair a partially torn meniscus, which forced him to miss the NFL Draft Combine.
Lingering knee injuries can hamper a player’s entire career, and Bowers’ durability definitely makes him a risky prospect.
Ryan Mallett, QB, Arkansas
Mallett has an absolute cannon of an arm and has had success in pro-style offenses in college, making him one of the best pure pocket passers in this class. However, serious questions have been raised about his maturity following an arrest for public intoxication in spring 2009, and he reportedly admitted his drug use to teams in private interviews.
While the fact he was willing to be honest about his past should be seen as a positive, what happens when a player with a reputation as a “big party guy” gets his first six-figure paycheque? Former New York Jets QB Erik Ainge, a collegiate star at Tennessee, recently washed out of the NFL due to drug problems, and substance abuse plagued former Raiders QB Todd Marinovich – like Mallett, a tall, strong-armed passer – was a bust for the same reasons.
If Mallett can keep his nose clean, he could be a star. If not, he could cost a GM his job.
Cam Newton, QB, Auburn
If you ask some scouts, GMs, and draft experts, Cam Newton is the best prospect in this class, a championship-winning signal-caller who accounted for 50 scores in the 2010 season. Ask others, and they’ll tell you he’s a bust waiting to happen.
Newton has tantalizing potential – as a fast, powerful runner with a rocket arm, he’s reminiscent of Daunte Culpepper. Of course, whether or not that’s a good thing is up for debate. He’s not the most accurate passer, and many have questioned his awareness in the pocket.
And perhaps most worrisome is his attitude. He seems to have the LeBron James “Global Icon” DNA – a sense that he’s entitled to become a superstar. He’s also been entangled in a number of controversies, from academic cheating to laptop theft to a recruiting investigation that might cost him his Heisman.